A difference between our forecast and the price is context, not a recommendation.

HIDDEN YARDAGE · COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Weekly Slate

A read-only view of model probabilities and Kalshi contract prices for the week.

Sample data · no weekly feed is configured

Current slate · 5 contracts

MODEL − KALSHI YES

Difference strip

Each bar represents one contract. The longest differences appear first.

  • Coastal Tech at Pine Ridge · Coastal Tech wins-13.0 pp
  • North Valley at Eastern State · North Valley wins+11.0 pp
  • Metro College at Western Plains · Metro College wins+9.0 pp
  • Cedar Hill at Silver Lake · Cedar Hill wins-8.0 pp
  • Lakeview at Summit State · Lakeview wins+7.0 pp

Positive means the model probability is higher than the Yes price; negative means it is lower.

Weekly Slate contracts, ordered by absolute model-minus-price difference
Matchup / kickoffModel probabilityKalshi YesKalshi NoDifferencePriced at
Coastal Tech at Pine RidgeCoastal Tech winsKickoff · 44.0%57¢45¢-13.0 pp
North Valley at Eastern StateNorth Valley winsKickoff · 64.0%53¢49¢+11.0 pp
Metro College at Western PlainsMetro College winsKickoff · 71.0%62¢40¢+9.0 pp
Cedar Hill at Silver LakeCedar Hill winsKickoff · 38.0%46¢56¢-8.0 pp
Lakeview at Summit StateLakeview winsKickoff · 55.0%48¢54¢+7.0 pp

Contract details

Coastal Tech wins

Coastal Tech at Pine Ridge

Kickoff

Model probability
44.0%
Kalshi Yes
57¢
Kalshi No
45¢
Difference
-13.0 pp
Priced at

North Valley wins

North Valley at Eastern State

Kickoff

Model probability
64.0%
Kalshi Yes
53¢
Kalshi No
49¢
Difference
+11.0 pp
Priced at

Metro College wins

Metro College at Western Plains

Kickoff

Model probability
71.0%
Kalshi Yes
62¢
Kalshi No
40¢
Difference
+9.0 pp
Priced at

Cedar Hill wins

Cedar Hill at Silver Lake

Kickoff

Model probability
38.0%
Kalshi Yes
46¢
Kalshi No
56¢
Difference
-8.0 pp
Priced at

Lakeview wins

Lakeview at Summit State

Kickoff

Model probability
55.0%
Kalshi Yes
48¢
Kalshi No
54¢
Difference
+7.0 pp
Priced at

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